Rangers vs Athletics Injury Report - Tuesday, April 14, 2026

-120O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)+100

MacKenzie Gore – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
MacKenzie Gore’s 94.9-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 75th percentile out of all starters.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Brandon Nimmo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
The Athletics have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
Danny Jansen – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+190/-250)
In today’s matchup, Danny Jansen is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.6% rate (100th percentile).
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)
Jeffrey Springs is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.6% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #10 HR venue in the league in this matchup.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (30.1) provides evidence that Nick Kurtz has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 40.2 actual HR/600.
Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
Today’s version of the Athletics projected offense is missing some of their usual firepower, as their .304 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .319 overall projected rate.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+14.55 Units / 29% ROI)
Corey Seager – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+100/-130)
Corey Seager has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.35 Units / 53% ROI)

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