TV Channel Information for Yankees vs Rays – Saturday October 3, 2026

New York Yankees

@

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – Moneyline (+120)
  Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• George Lombard Jr. – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  George Lombard Jr. has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 87.1-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Luis García Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
  Luis Garcia Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Drew Rasmussen – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
  Throwing 93 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Drew Rasmussen ranks in the 83rd percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Chandler Simpson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)
  New York’s #2-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Chandler Simpson, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• It may be smart to expect worse results for the Tampa Bay Rays offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the luckiest offense in the league this year.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (-140)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 14 games (+11.80 Units / 76% ROI)
• Richie Palacios – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1100/-4000)
  Richie Palacios has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+13.00 Units / 186% ROI)