Live Updates for Marlins vs Giants - 4/26/2026

+105O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-125

Max Meyer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
Max Meyer’s slider usage has spiked by 5.5% from last year to this one (46.8% to 52.3%) .
Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Jakob Marsee – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
Jakob Marsee has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .255 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .289 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
Otto Lopez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
Otto Lopez has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)
In his previous GS, Landen Roupp was in good form and allowed 0 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Jung Hoo Lee – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+190/-255)
Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Landen Roupp – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants’s expected catcher today) grades out as an elite pitch framer.
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-145/+115)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+6.85 Units / 12% ROI)
Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+6.85 Units / 42% ROI)
Drew Gilbert – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1000/-3000)
Drew Gilbert has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+11.50 Units / 144% ROI)

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