
Chicago Cubs
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Kansas City Royals
-170O/U: 9
(-115/-105)+145
(-115/-105)+145
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Kevin Gausman – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Kevin Gausman in the 78th percentile among all starters in the league.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
- Michael Busch – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-170)The Chicago Cubs projected offense ranks as the 3rd-best on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Kansas City Royals – Moneyline (+145)The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams in action today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Michael Massey – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)Michael Massey is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Chicago (#1-best on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Kansas City Royals – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Kansas City Royals’ bullpen grades out as the worst among all the teams in baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-115/-105)The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-170)The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 away games (+10.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Alex Bregman – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-130/+100)Alex Bregman has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.80 Units / 31% ROI)
