
Athletics
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Texas Rangers
+110O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-130
(-110/-110)-130
Athletics Insights
- J.T. Ginn – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+115/-150)Generating 14.2 outs per GS since the start of last season on average, J.T. Ginn checks in at the 11th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Shea Langeliers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)Extreme flyball hitters like Shea Langeliers tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kumar Rocker.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- The Athletics have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nick Kurtz, Zack Gelof, Max Muncy).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Texas Rangers Insights
- Kumar Rocker – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)Kumar Rocker’s slider utilization has jumped by 21.8% from last year to this one (15.8% to 37.6%) .Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Josh Jung – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-220/+165)Josh Jung has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Texas Rangers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Texas Rangers’ bullpen ranks as the 4th-worst among all the teams in baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Texas Rangers – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Athletics – Moneyline (+110)The Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away games (+15.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alejandro Osuna – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)Alejandro Osuna has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.55 Units / 44% ROI)
