
Houston Astros
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San Diego Padres
+105O/U: 8
(-115/-105)-125
(-115/-105)-125
Houston Astros Insights
- Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Houston Astros – 2H MoneylineThe Houston Astros bullpen projects as the 4th-best in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
San Diego Padres Insights
- Fernando Tatis Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- San Diego Padres – Moneyline (-125)The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Houston Astros – Moneyline (+105)The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Taylor Trammell – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+200/-265)Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 20 away games (+10.45 Units / 52% ROI)
