Live Score for Tigers vs White Sox – August 11th, 2025

Detroit Tigers

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Chicago White Sox

As the Chicago White Sox prepare to host the Detroit Tigers on August 11, 2025, the stakes are clear. The White Sox, languishing at 43-75 this season, have had a dismal year and rank 29th in overall offense, while the Tigers are enjoying a solid campaign at 68-51, positioning themselves as a competitive force in the American League Central.

In their last encounter, the White Sox fell short in a tight battle, and they now look to bounce back against a Tigers squad that features Chris Paddack on the mound. Paddack, despite his 4-10 record and a below-average ERA of 4.91, is projected to pitch an average of 5.2 innings today, which is fairly typical for a starting pitcher. However, his projections indicate he may allow 2.8 earned runs, 5.5 hits, and 1.2 walks, all of which could be problematic against a struggling White Sox offense.

Elvis Peguero is set to start for Chicago, and his projections aren’t promising either. He’s expected to pitch just 1.1 innings while allowing 0.7 earned runs and struggling with a high hit rate of 1.2 per inning. With the White Sox ranking at the bottom in team batting average and home runs, they will need to overcome their offensive woes if they hope to capitalize on Paddack’s vulnerabilities.

The Tigers offense ranks 9th overall and boasts a strong performance from their best hitter, who has recently posted impressive stats, including 9 RBIs over the last week. The Game Total for this matchup is set at 8.5 runs, reflecting an average expectation for scoring, while the Tigers are favored with a moneyline of -140.

Given the disparity in team performance and the projected pitching matchups, the Tigers appear poised to take advantage of the White Sox’s struggles, making them a solid pick for bettors looking to capitalize on this matchup.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Chris Paddack – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)
  Out of all starters, Chris Paddack’s fastball spin rate of 2242 rpm ranks in the 24th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Zach McKinstry – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Zach McKinstry’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 88-mph figure last season has decreased to 85.8-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Despite technically being the “starter” in today’s matchup, Elvis Peguero may not last more than a couple frames since he will be treated as more of an opener.
  Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
• Mike Tauchman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-200/+155)
  In terms of his batting average, Mike Tauchman has been lucky this year. His .273 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .236.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• The Chicago White Sox have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luis Robert Jr., Michael A. Taylor, Colson Montgomery).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-125)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 62 of their last 110 games (+11.75 Units / 9% ROI)
• Dillon Dingler – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-220/+165)
  Dillon Dingler has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+6.55 Units / 82% ROI)