Live Score for Tigers vs White Sox – August 11th, 2025

Detroit Tigers

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Chicago White Sox

As the Chicago White Sox host the Detroit Tigers for the first game of their series on August 11, 2025, both teams arrive with contrasting fortunes this season. The White Sox, languishing at 43-75, have had a dismal year, while the Tigers stand at a commendable 68-51 and are riding high after a victory in their last game against the Cleveland Guardians by a score of 9-5.

On the mound, the White Sox will start Elvis Peguero, a right-handed pitcher with a troubling ranking of #253 in MLB, indicating he is among the least effective starters. Peguero has yet to start a game this season and his projections suggest he may not last long on the mound, averaging just 1.1 innings with a concerning 0.7 earned runs allowed. His struggles could be further exacerbated against a Tigers offense that ranks 9th in MLB, showcasing their ability to capitalize on poor pitching.

Conversely, the Tigers will counter with Chris Paddack, who, despite a rough season with a 4-10 record and an ERA of 4.91, has logged 23 starts. Paddack’s durability gives him an edge, as he is projected to pitch a more typical 5.2 innings today, with an average of 2.8 earned runs allowed. While his recent outing was lackluster, having allowed 4 earned runs in just 4 innings, he still offers more reliability than his counterpart.

Given the odds, the Tigers are favored, but the White Sox’s offense, ranking 29th overall and 30th in batting average, could struggle to provide adequate support. The Game Total is set at an average 8.5 runs, hinting at a possible low-scoring affair. As both teams take the field, the Tigers will look to maintain their playoff push while the White Sox aim to find some form in a challenging season.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Chris Paddack – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
  Out of all starters, Chris Paddack’s fastball spin rate of 2242 rpm ranks in the 24th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Kerry Carpenter – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Kerry Carpenter has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 95.2-mph in the past 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Despite technically being the “starter” in today’s matchup, Elvis Peguero may not last more than a couple frames since he will be treated as more of an opener.
  Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
• Mike Tauchman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)
  In terms of his batting average, Mike Tauchman has been lucky this year. His .277 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .240.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the most strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Chicago White Sox with a 25.7% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-130)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 62 of their last 110 games (+11.75 Units / 9% ROI)
• Wenceel Perez – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+520/-900)
  Wenceel Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 111% ROI)