Live Score for Giants vs Rockies - July 5th, 2026

-125O/U: 13
(-110/-110)+105

Tyler Mahle – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+125/-160)
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Tyler Mahle is projected to throw 84 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.
Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
Willy Adames – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
Extreme groundball batters like Willy Adames usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Gordon.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Drew Cavanaugh, Bryce Eldridge, Willy Adames).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Tanner Gordon – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Tanner Gordon has used his secondary offerings 12.8% more often this season (60%) than he did last year (47.2%).
Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
Jake McCarthy – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+145/-190)
Jake McCarthy is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Colorado Rockies – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Colorado Rockies’ bullpen profiles as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams in the league.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Colorado Rockies – Run Line +1.5 (-140)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.60 Units / 14% ROI)
San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
Willy Adames – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-120/-110)
Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)

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