Get the Injury Report for Cubs vs Royals - Sunday August 9th, 2026

-165O/U: 10.5
(-105/-115)+145

Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-165)
The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the strongest out of every team in action today.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
Michael Conforto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
The Kansas City Royals don’t have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Michael Conforto is assured to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the entire game.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
Tyrone Taylor – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-185)
Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (47.7% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s deepest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Randy Dobnak – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
Considering that flyball hitters have a significant advantage over groundball pitchers, Randy Dobnak and his 49.5% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough position today being matched up with 2 opposing GB batters.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Jac Caglianone – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-240/+180)
Chicago’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Jac Caglianone, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Kansas City Royals – Moneyline (+145)
The Kansas City Royals projected offense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Chicago Cubs – Run Line -1.5 (-110)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 away games (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-125/-105)
Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 22% ROI)

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