Review the Latest Player Stats for Yankees vs D-Backs – Saturday, September 19th, 2026

New York Yankees

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Arizona Diamondbacks

New York Yankees Insights

• Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
  Cameron Schlittler has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 4.4 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average hurler.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Ryan McMahon – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  In the past week, Ryan McMahon’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Luis García Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Luis Garcia Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Brandon Pfaadt – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Brandon Pfaadt has utilized his slider 5.2% less often this season (13.5%) than he did last season (18.7%).
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Pavin Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Pavin Smith has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-155)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+9.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-130/+100)
  Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 43% ROI)