Get the Latest Score Updates for Blue Jays vs Rangers - Saturday September 19, 2026

-110O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-110

José Soriano – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jose Soriano has used his secondary pitches 6.3% more often this season (48.8%) than he did last season (42.5%).
Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
Nathan Lukes – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
Nathan Lukes has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph dropping to 78.4-mph over the last 7 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 17.9% underlying K%.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Cal Quantrill – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
Cal Quantrill’s 2133-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 17th percentile out of all starters.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Danny Jansen – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
Extreme flyball bats like Danny Jansen generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like José Soriano.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Texas Rangers batters jointly grade out 7th- in the game for power this year when assessing with their 30.4% rate of hitting their flyballs and line drives 100 mph or greater.
Explain: To hit a home run, the ball must be hit in the air and hit hard enough to clear the fence. This metric is a strong indicator of this kind of power.

Texas Rangers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140/+110)
The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 51% ROI)
Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 away games (+4.30 Units / 17% ROI)
Josh Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+900/-2500)
Josh Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+33.00 Units / 367% ROI)

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