
New York Yankees
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Chicago Cubs
-110O/U: 6.5
(-120/+100)-110
(-120/+100)-110
New York Yankees Insights
- Gerrit Cole – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Gerrit Cole in the 85th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
- Spencer Jones – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)Spencer Jones is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- The 9.8% Barrel% of the New York Yankees makes them the #1 group of hitters in the game this year by this metric.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-110)Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Dansby Swanson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)Dansby Swanson’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 89.3-mph seasonal average has fallen to 80.1-mph in the last week.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)In today’s game, Pete Crow-Armstrong is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41% rate (99th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Chicago Cubs – Run Line +1.5 (-185)The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+9.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- New York Yankees – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-105/-125)The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
