
Kansas City Royals
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Washington Nationals
+115O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-135
(-110/-110)-135
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Mitch Spence – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+130/-170)Mitch Spence’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (88.7% since the start of last season) should work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
- Isaac Collins – Over/Under Total BasesThe switch-hitting Isaac Collins will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Andrew Alvarez.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Kansas City Royals – 2H MoneylineThe Kansas City Royals bullpen ranks as the 5th-worst in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Washington Nationals Insights
- Andrew Alvarez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)Andrew Alvarez’s 91-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 18th percentile among all SPs.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- CJ Abrams – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
