
San Francisco Giants
@

Chicago Cubs
+130O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-150
(-110/-110)-150
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Landen Roupp – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Landen Roupp in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
- Willy Adames – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)Willy Adames is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of Chicago (#3-best on the slate today).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Casey Schmitt – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Casey Schmitt pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-150)Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Nico Hoerner – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-220/+165)Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (98% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-150)The 3rd-best projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Chicago Cubs.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Betting Trends
- Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-145/+115)The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Alex Bregman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
