
San Francisco Giants
@

Chicago Cubs
+120O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-140
(-110/-110)-140
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Landen Roupp – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)Landen Roupp has gone to his curveball 7% less often this year (28.7%) than he did last season (35.7%).Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
- Casey Schmitt – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)Casey Schmitt pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Ben Brown – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-170/+130)Ben Brown’s 96.1-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1-mph spike from last season’s 95.1-mph mark.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.
- Nico Hoerner – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+185/-245)Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (98% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-140)The 3rd-best projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Chicago Cubs.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
