Baltimore Orioles
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Toronto Blue Jays
-110O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Kyle Bradish – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)Tallying 93.3 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Kyle Bradish places him the 82nd percentile.Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Coby Mayo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+215/-290)Coby Mayo has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Jackson Holliday – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+200/-270)Jackson Holliday hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Toronto Blue Jays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)With 6 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Spencer Miles faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Jesus Sanchez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+175/-230)Jesus Sanchez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 96.4-mph in the last 14 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 19.1% underlying K%.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.