
Texas Rangers
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Athletics
-110O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
Texas Rangers Insights
- Texas Rangers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-125)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Jack Leiter will give up an average of 2.75 earned runs in today’s game.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
- Brandon Nimmo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)The Athletics have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
- Texas Rangers – 2H MoneylineThe Texas Rangers bullpen ranks as the worst in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Athletics Insights
- Jacob Lopez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)Jacob Lopez has utilized his cut-fastball 7.3% more often this season (21.5%) than he did last season (14.2%).Explain: Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Shea Langeliers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)Shea Langeliers is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Texas (#1-best on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+7.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 away games (+5.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- Shea Langeliers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)Shea Langeliers has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 36% ROI)
