Find Betting Odds and Bets for Guardians vs Tigers - May 18th, 2026

+125O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-150

Slade Cecconi – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
Slade Cecconi’s 92.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a big 1.1-mph decrease from last year’s 93.7-mph mark.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
Angel Martinez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)
Angel Martinez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Slade Cecconi – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
Projected catcher Austin Hedges profiles as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Framber Valdez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
Considering that groundball batters hold a sizeable advantage over flyball pitchers, Framber Valdez and his 56.4% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough spot in this outing matching up with 2 opposing GB hitters.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Colt Keith – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
Colt Keith has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 78-mph in the past 14 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
The Detroit Tigers bullpen projects as the worst in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
Cleveland Guardians – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-115)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)
Wenceel Perez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+115/-145)
Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+7.80 Units / 28% ROI)

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