Dodgers vs Astros Injury Report – Tuesday, May 05, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers

@

Houston Astros

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage against 6 opposing hitters today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
  Max Muncy pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Houston Astros Insights

• Peter Lambert – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  In his previous GS, Peter Lambert turned in a great performance and posted 8 strikeouts.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Cam Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-125/-105)
  Cam Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The underlying talent of the Houston Astros projected lineup today (.315 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a fair amount weaker than their .339 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• Cam Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-125/-105)
  Cam Smith has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+8.40 Units / 105% ROI)