
Colorado Rockies
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Los Angeles Angels
+175O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-205
(-110/-110)-205
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Kyle Freeland – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)Kyle Freeland has averaged 14.1 outs per GS this year, ranking in the 15th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Jake McCarthy – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+165/-215)Jake McCarthy’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 90.9-mph mark last season has dropped off to 87.5-mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Colorado Rockies – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Colorado Rockies’ bullpen ranks as the worst among all the teams in the league.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Jose Soriano – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jose Soriano has used his non-fastballs 5.2% more often this season (47.7%) than he did last year (42.5%).Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
- Logan O’Hoppe – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+140)In terms of his batting average, Logan O’Hoppe has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .209 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .253.Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)Zach Neto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
