Check the Weather for Mets vs Marlins Game – 5/24/2026

New York Mets

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Miami Marlins

New York Mets Insights

• Christian Scott – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Christian Scott’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 outings (2446 rpm) has been a considerable increase over than his seasonal rate (2333 rpm).
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose spin rate worsens will likely see worsened results as well.
• MJ Melendez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  MJ Melendez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The New York Mets have been the unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Tyler Phillips – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Tyler Phillips to be on a bit of a short leash in this game, projecting a maximum of 81 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Owen Caissie – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+220/-300)
  Owen Caissie has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 91.7-mph figure.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The 6.6% Barrel% of the Miami Marlins grades them out as the #26 offense in the game this year by this metric.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.