Check the Rankings and Game Forecast: Rays vs Yankees Analysis – 5/24/2026

Tampa Bay Rays

@

New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Tampa Bay Rays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)
  Drew Rasmussen is an extreme groundball pitcher (47.2% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #4 HR venue among all stadiums — in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Taylor Walls – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  There has been a decrease in Taylor Walls’s average exit velocity this year, from 86.4 mph last year to 81.6 mph now
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Tampa Bay Rays – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Tampa Bay Rays’ bullpen grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

New York Yankees Insights

• Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  With 6 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Ryan Weathers will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Aaron Judge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Bats such as Aaron Judge with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Jazz Chisholm – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• New York Yankees – Run Line -1.5 (+160)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+3.65 Units / 21% ROI)
• Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (+120)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 23 games (+15.40 Units / 57% ROI)
• Drew Rasmussen – Over/Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+120/-155)
  Drew Rasmussen has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 32% ROI)