Check the Rankings and Game Forecast: Rays vs Yankees Analysis – 5/24/2026

Tampa Bay Rays logo

Tampa Bay Rays

@
New York Yankees logo

New York Yankees

+115O/U: 7.5
(+100/-120)
-135

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

  • Tampa Bay Rays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)
    Drew Rasmussen is an extreme groundball pitcher (47.2% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #4 HR venue among all stadiums — in this matchup.
    Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
  • Taylor Walls – Over/Under Total Bases
    There has been a decrease in Taylor Walls’s average exit velocity this year, from 86.4 mph last year to 81.6 mph now
    Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
  • Tampa Bay Rays – 2H Moneyline
    According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Tampa Bay Rays’ bullpen grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.
    Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

New York Yankees Insights

  • Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
    With 7 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Ryan Weathers will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
    Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
  • Aaron Judge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
    Aaron Judge is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Tampa Bay (#2-best of the day).
    Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
  • Jazz Chisholm – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+205/-280)
    Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
    Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.