
Chicago White Sox
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Baltimore Orioles
+125O/U: 10.5
(-110/-110)-145
(-110/-110)-145
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Erick Fedde – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)The Baltimore Orioles have 6 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Erick Fedde today.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Miguel Vargas – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)Bats such as Miguel Vargas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Trey Gibson who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Colton Cowser – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)Colton Cowser has big-time power (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (31.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Erick Fedde has a pitch-to-contact profile (8th percentile K%) — great news for Cowser.Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
- Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (-145)The 2nd-best projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
