Minnesota Twins
@
Washington Nationals
-110O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
Minnesota Twins Insights
- Simeon Woods Richard – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)Because of his large reverse platoon split, Simeon Woods Richardson should be in good shape matching up with 6 hitters in the projected batting order who bat from the other side in this outing.Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Matt Wallner – Over/Under Total BasesMatt Wallner pulls many of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Washington Nationals Insights
- Jake Irvin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)Jake Irvin’s 92-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 22nd percentile out of all SPs.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- James Wood – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)James Wood has strong power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (29.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Simeon Woods Richard doesn’t generate many whiffs (11th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
- Washington Nationals – Moneyline (-110)The Washington Nationals projected offense ranks as the worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.