Uncover Detailed Player Insights for D-Backs vs Giants – Wednesday, May 27th, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

@

San Francisco Giants

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Mike Soroka – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Michael Soroka is expected to record an average of 5.5 strikeouts in today’s matchup.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
• Ildemaro Vargas – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
  Extreme groundball batters like Ildemaro Vargas generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Trevor McDonald.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 20.3% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Trevor McDonald – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-170/+130)
  With a 1 deviation between Trevor McDonald’s 8.36 K/9 and his 7.36 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and should see negative regression going forward.
  Explain: Pitchers that are overperforming should be expected to pitch worse going forward, which can create value on K prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Casey Schmitt – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+170/-225)
  The Barrel% of Casey Schmitt has significantly improved, with an increase from 9.1% last year to 14.9% this year.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• San Francisco Giants – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Francisco Giants’ bullpen grades out as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in the game.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.