Check Out Picks and Betting Guide for Cardinals vs Marlins - 4/21/26

-105O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-115

St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-110)
In his last start, Dustin May conceded a whopping 6 earned runs.
Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
Jordan Walker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
Jordan Walker has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last year’s 92.3-mph mark.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Jordan Walker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chris Paddack – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
Recording 94 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Chris Paddack ranks in the 78th percentile.
Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
The Miami Marlins have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Owen Caissie, Connor Norby).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

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