Houston Astros
@
New York Yankees
+125O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-145
(-110/-110)-145
Houston Astros Insights
- Ethan Pecko – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ethan Pecko to throw 82 pitches in this matchup (3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)New York’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for Daulton Varsho, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
New York Yankees Insights
- Will Warren – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)Will Warren will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters today… and will be extra-advantaged due to his large platoon split.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Trent Grisham – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)Batting from the opposite that Ethan Pecko throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Betting Trends
- New York Yankees – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120/-110)The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Houston Astros – Run Line +1.5 (-165)The Houston Astros have hit the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.35 Units / 10% ROI)