
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Cincinnati Reds
-225O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+195
(-110/-110)+195
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s four-seam fastball percentage has fallen by 8.8% from last season to this one (35.7% to 26.9%) .Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
- Will Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-110/-120)Will Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen ranks as the 4th-best among all major league teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Cincinnati Reds Insights
- Cincinnati Reds – Moneyline (+195)Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Elly De La Cruz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)Elly De La Cruz has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.2-mph to 103.2-mph in the past 14 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Sal Stewart – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)Sal Stewart has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
