
Chicago Cubs
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Colorado Rockies
-165O/U: 12
(-110/-110)+145
(-110/-110)+145
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Shota Imanaga – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)Shota Imanaga’s four-seamer usage has decreased by 7.4% from last season to this one (48.7% to 41.3%) .Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 2.5 Total Bases (+110/-145)Pete Crow-Armstrong has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.5-mph average.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-165)The Chicago Cubs projected offense ranks as the 2nd-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Michael Lorenzen – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)Ranking in the 18th percentile, Michael Lorenzen compiled an 8.6% Swinging Strike percentage this year.Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
- Jake McCarthy – Over/Under HitsJake McCarthy is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Chicago (#1-best of all teams today).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Colorado Rockies – 2H MoneylineThe Colorado Rockies bullpen grades out as the 2nd-worst in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 12.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+130/-170)Nico Hoerner has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 41% ROI)
