
San Diego Padres
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Los Angeles Angels
-150O/U: 9
(-110/-110)+125
(-110/-110)+125
San Diego Padres Insights
- Michael King – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)Michael King’s sinker usage has risen by 5.5% from last year to this one (29.5% to 35%) .Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
- Ramon Laureano – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)In the last 7 days, Ramon Laureano’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17% up to 31.3%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- San Diego Padres – 2H MoneylineThe San Diego Padres bullpen ranks as the 8th-best in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+125)The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Nolan Schanuel – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-205)Nolan Schanuel’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 90.9-mph average last season has fallen to 86.5-mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)Zach Neto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+8.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- San Diego Padres – Run Line -1.5 (+110)The San Diego Padres have hit the Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- Manny Machado – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-105/-125)Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.05 Units / 21% ROI)
