Injury Report for White Sox vs Cardinals – Sunday, September 13th, 2026

Chicago White Sox

@

St. Louis Cardinals

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline
  Sean Burke is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.5% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #30 HR venue in the league in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Tristan Peters – Over/Under Total Bases
  Tristan Peters has been lucky this year, compiling a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .046 deviation.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• The Chicago White Sox have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Colson Montgomery, Kyle Teel, Munetaka Murakami).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Michael McGreevy – Over/Under Strikeouts
  Michael McGreevy’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this season (58.8% compared to 53.1% last season) figures to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Nolan Gorman – Over/Under Hits
  Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• St. Louis Cardinals – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen profiles as the 6th-best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 21 games (+13.70 Units / 59% ROI)
• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)