See the Odds and Betting Tips for Phillies vs Mariners - August 25th, 2026

-110O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-110

Aaron Nola – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-125/-105)
Aaron Nola has averaged 91.9 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.
Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Brandon Marsh – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+135)
Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)
Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

George Kirby – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
George Kirby’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this year (50.5% vs. 44.4% last year) figures to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
Dominic Canzone – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
Dominic Canzone has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph dropping to 80.7-mph in the last 7 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
George Kirby – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-160/+125)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.20 Units / 53% ROI)
Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-110)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+6.55 Units / 27% ROI)
Randy Arozarena – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+530/-950)
Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+11.60 Units / 145% ROI)

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