Discover Betting Trends and Expert Picks for Yankees vs Blue Jays – 8/14/2026

New York Yankees

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Toronto Blue Jays

New York Yankees Insights

• Gerrit Cole – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+125/-160)
  Generating 17.3 outs per GS this year on average, Gerrit Cole falls in the 85th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Austin Wells – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Wells’s true offensive talent to be a .299, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .042 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .257 wOBA.
  Explain: Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.
• The New York Yankees have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Spencer Jones, Ryan McMahon, Jazz Chisholm Jr.).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Shane Bieber – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  Shane Bieber’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (61.9% this year) should work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Alejandro Kirk – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Toronto Blue Jays’ bullpen ranks as the 10th-worst among all the teams in the league.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.