
Toronto Blue Jays
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Washington Nationals
-120O/U: 9.5
(+100/-120)+100
(+100/-120)+100
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Toronto Blue Jays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-125)Trey Yesavage turned in a great performance in his last GS and conceded 0 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)Daulton Varsho is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Washington (#2-best on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Toronto Blue Jays – 2H MoneylineThe Toronto Blue Jays bullpen profiles as the 8th-best in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Washington Nationals Insights
- Zack Littell – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)Compared to average, Zack Littell has been granted a shorter leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an -8.1 fewer adjusted pitches each outing.Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
- Keibert Ruiz – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+145)Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- CJ Abrams – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
