Braves vs Orioles Injury Report – Saturday, July 25, 2026

Atlanta Braves

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Baltimore Orioles

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Bryce Elder – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
  Bryce Elder has averaged 17.2 outs per outing this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Austin Riley – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Austin Riley has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.2% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)
  Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Brandon Young – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Brandon Young has utilized his non-fastballs 10.7% less often this season (45.5%) than he did last year (56.2%).
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Leody Taveras – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+135)
  Leody Taveras’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 87.1-mph seasonal average has dropped to 78.8-mph in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Baltimore Orioles (24.6% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 2nd-most strikeout-heavy team of batters on the slate today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Baltimore Orioles – Run Line +1.0 (-150)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)
• Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+305/-440)
  Drake Baldwin has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+12.10 Units / 151% ROI)