
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Athletics
-120O/U: 10.5
(-110/-110)+100
(-110/-110)+100
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Eric Lauer – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)Eric Lauer’s change-up usage has jumped by 9.4% from last year to this one (7.2% to 16.6%) .Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Kyle Tucker – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)Kyle Tucker is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen projects as the 8th-best among all teams in the majors.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Athletics Insights
- Gage Jump – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)Gage Jump’s 95.7-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 85th percentile among all starters.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)Nick Kurtz has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.6-mph to 97.6-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Colby Thomas – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Colby Thomas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Athletics – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-135/+105)The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-130)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 away games (+5.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Dalton Rushing – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+140/-185)Dalton Rushing has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 54% ROI)
