Find the Official Lineup for Marlins vs Pirates - 6/13/2026

-110O/U: 9.5
(+100/-120)-110

Despite technically being the “starter” in today’s game, Lake Bachar may not last more than a couple frames since he will be treated as more of an opener.
Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
Kyle Stowers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
Kyle Stowers has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Miami Marlins bats collectively place 28th- in baseball for power this year when using their 6.5% Barrel%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Bubba Chandler – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
Bubba Chandler’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (56.9% this year) is likely weakening his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
Jake Mangum – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
Extreme flyball bats like Jake Mangum are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Lake Bachar.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Ryan O’Hearn – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
Ryan O’Hearn has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.10 Units / 33% ROI)
Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.65 Units / 49% ROI)
Brandon Lowe – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)

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