Find the Official Lineup for Marlins vs Pirates – 6/13/2026

Miami Marlins

@

Pittsburgh Pirates

Miami Marlins Insights

• Lake Bachar – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Lake Bachar to be limited in this game, projecting a maximum of 69 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Kyle Stowers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Kyle Stowers has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Miami Marlins bats collectively place 28th- in baseball for power this year when using their 6.5% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Bubba Chandler – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  With 6 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Bubba Chandler will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jake Mangum – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Extreme flyball bats like Jake Mangum are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Lake Bachar.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Ryan O’Hearn – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Ryan O’Hearn has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.10 Units / 33% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.65 Units / 49% ROI)
• Brandon Lowe – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+165/-215)
  Brandon Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+6.35 Units / 63% ROI)