Latest Player Stats for Astros vs Cubs - Saturday May 23, 2026

+125O/U: 7
(-110/-110)-145

Kai-Wei Teng – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
Compared to the average pitcher, Kai-Wei Teng has been granted a shorter leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing an -11.3 fewer adjusted pitches each start.
Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
Brice Matthews – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
When it comes to his home runs, Brice Matthews has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His 27.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 46.0.
Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
The Houston Astros have been the 6th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games
Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Colin Rea – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
Colin Rea’s change-up percentage has spiked by 6.6% from last season to this one (12.3% to 18.9%) .
Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)
Seiya Suzuki has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Chicago Cubs batters collectively rank 7th- in the league for power this year when judging by their 33.1% rate of hitting their flyballs and line drives 100 mph or greater.
Explain: To hit a home run, the ball must be hit in the air and hit hard enough to clear the fence. This metric is a strong indicator of this kind of power.

Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-125/-105)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 29% ROI)
Houston Astros – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Christian Walker – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+110/-140)
Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.35 Units / 31% ROI)

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