
Milwaukee Brewers
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Chicago Cubs
-105O/U: 6.5
(-110/-110)-115
(-110/-110)-115
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Kyle Harrison – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)Kyle Harrison projects to strikeout 5.6 bats in this game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
- David Hamilton – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)David Hamilton’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 87-mph mark last season has fallen off to 83.4-mph.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Milwaukee Brewers – 2H MoneylineThe Milwaukee Brewers bullpen ranks as the 5th-best in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Edward Cabrera – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)Edward Cabrera’s change-up percentage has spiked by 7.6% from last season to this one (25.6% to 33.2%) .Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)Milwaukee’s #3-ranked outfield defense on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Seiya Suzuki, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)In today’s game, Pete Crow-Armstrong is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.7% rate (95th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-115)The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.05 Units / 22% ROI)
