Player Prop Picks for Guardians vs Tigers - 5/20/2026

-130O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)+110

Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)
Tanner Bibee is projected to allow an average of 2.2 walks in this game, as forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
Steven Kwan – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
Steven Kwan is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-deepest RF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)
Drew Anderson has a reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 9 opposite-handed hitters in today’s game.
Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Zach McKinstry – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+215/-290)
Zach McKinstry’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 85.9-mph figure last year has fallen to 83.8-mph.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
The Detroit Tigers have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Gage Workman, Spencer Torkelson).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-110/-120)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.25 Units / 67% ROI)
Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (-130)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+7.55 Units / 23% ROI)
Wenceel Perez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+130/-165)
Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.55 Units / 31% ROI)

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