
Los Angeles Dodgers
@

San Diego Padres
-170O/U: 7.5
(-105/-115)+150
(-105/-115)+150
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)Shohei Ohtani’s 97.3-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 95th percentile among all SPs.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-170)The best projected batting order of the day in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
San Diego Padres Insights
- Randy Vasquez – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Randy Vasquez will wring up 14.5 outs in this outing.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
- Manny Machado – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)Manny Machado’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 92.9-mph EV last year has fallen off to 90.2-mph.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- San Diego Padres – 2H MoneylineThe San Diego Padres bullpen grades out as the best in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- San Diego Padres – Run Line +1.5 (-125)The San Diego Padres have hit the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+8.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Run Line -1.5 (+105)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 away games (+6.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+135/-170)Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.90 Units / 49% ROI)
