See Picks and Betting Line for Cubs vs Braves - Wednesday, May 13, 2026

-135O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+115

Shota Imanaga – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
Shota Imanaga’s fastball velocity has spiked 1 mph this season (91.2 mph) over where it was last season (90.2 mph).
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.
Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
Seiya Suzuki is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of Atlanta (#3-best of all teams on the slate today).
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Chicago Cubs batters jointly rank near the top of Major League Baseball this year (10th-) in regard to their 89.1-mph average exit velocity.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

JR Ritchie – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-140)
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, JR Ritchie is projected to throw 85 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.
Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
Mauricio Dubon – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
Mauricio Dubon is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Atlanta Braves – Run Line +1.5 (-140)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+19.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)
Dansby Swanson – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+110/-140)
Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.35 Units / 32% ROI)

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