Check the Injuries Update for Rockies vs Padres – 4/11/2026

Colorado Rockies

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San Diego Padres

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Ryan Feltner – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Out of all starters, Ryan Feltner’s fastball spin rate of 2407.9 rpm is in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+140)
  Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.217) may lead us to conclude that Hunter Goodman has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .276 actual batting average.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Colorado Rockies – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Colorado Rockies’ bullpen ranks as the 5th-worst among all the teams in the game.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

San Diego Padres Insights

• German Marquez – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
  German Marquez has recorded 14.4 outs per GS since the start of last season, checking in at the 14th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Nick Castellanos – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• San Diego Padres – Run Line -1.5 (+135)
  The San Diego Padres have hit the Run Line in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.20 Units / 47% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.05 Units / 28% ROI)