
Colorado Rockies
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Toronto Blue Jays
+220O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-260
(-110/-110)-260
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Tomoyuki Sugano – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-170/+130)Tomoyuki Sugano’s 2391-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 75th percentile among all SPs.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)Checking in at the 88th percentile, Hunter Goodman has notched a .331 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.Explain: ISO is an advanced metric that measures a player’s ability to hit for power. Power, of course, is crucial for hitting home runs and extra-base hits.
- Colorado’s 88.7-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season is one of the worst in the league: #26 overall.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Cody Ponce – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+140/-180)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Cody Ponce to have a pitch count in this game, projecting a maximum of 80 pitches.Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- Kazuma Okamoto – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)Kazuma Okamoto is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 5th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
Betting Trends
- Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (-260)The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 83 of their last 136 games (+23.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 73 away games (+15.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-145/+110)Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
