Live Stream Details for White Sox vs Guardians – Sunday, September 14, 2025

Chicago White Sox

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Cleveland Guardians

As the Cleveland Guardians prepare to face the Chicago White Sox on September 14, 2025, at Progressive Field, the stakes are clear. With the Guardians sitting at 77-71, they are enjoying an above-average season, while the White Sox struggle at 57-92, marking a dismal year. In their last matchup, the Guardians secured a 3-1 victory, continuing their trend of outperforming the White Sox, particularly in pitching.

Projected starters Slade Cecconi for the Guardians and Yoendrys Gomez for the White Sox present a stark contrast. Cecconi has been a steady presence on the mound, with a 6-6 record and a respectable 4.45 ERA this season. His recent outing was impressive, going 8 innings with no earned runs, which showcases his potential to dominate. The projections suggest that he will pitch around 5.3 innings today, allowing approximately 2.4 earned runs, which is above average.

On the other hand, Gomez, with a 3-2 record and a 5.05 ERA, has struggled this season, particularly in his last start where he allowed 4 earned runs in just 5 innings. His projections indicate a challenging outing ahead, as he is expected to pitch only 4.7 innings and give up around 2.5 earned runs, while also allowing 2.0 walks, which could be detrimental against a Guardians lineup that, despite ranking 29th in overall offense, has the capability to capitalize on pitching mistakes.

Given the Guardians’ status as betting favorites with a moneyline of -160, the odds favor them to continue their winning ways, particularly against an underwhelming White Sox squad whose bullpen ranks 7th in MLB, but whose overall performance has been lackluster. With an implied team total of 4.42 runs for the Guardians compared to 3.58 for the White Sox, this matchup sets up well for Cleveland to assert their dominance once again.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Yoendrys Gomez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Out of all starters, Yoendrys Gomez’s fastball spin rate of 2464 rpm ranks in the 89th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Andrew Benintendi – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-175/+135)
  Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Chicago White Sox – Moneyline (+135)
  The 3rd-weakest projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Chicago White Sox.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Slade Cecconi – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-145/+115)
  Slade Cecconi has tallied 17.3 outs per outing this year, checking in at the 81st percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Brayan Rocchio – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Brayan Rocchio’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 87.2-mph now compared to just 84.5-mph then.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Cleveland Guardians – 2H Moneyline
  The Cleveland Guardians bullpen projects as the 5th-worst in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 62 of their last 111 games (+12.85 Units / 10% ROI)
• Chicago White Sox – Run Line +1.5 (-155)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the Run Line in 72 of their last 119 games (+14.05 Units / 9% ROI)
• Slade Cecconi – Over/Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+120/-155)
  Slade Cecconi has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+7.00 Units / 66% ROI)