Get the Injury Report for Braves vs Cardinals – Sunday July 13th, 2025

Atlanta Braves

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St. Louis Cardinals

The St. Louis Cardinals host the Atlanta Braves in a pivotal matchup on July 13, 2025, at Busch Stadium. Both teams are looking to find their footing as the season heads into the latter half. The Cardinals, with a record of 50-46, are having an above-average season, while the Braves sit at 42-52, struggling to find any rhythm. In their last game on July 12, the Cardinals narrowly lost to the Braves 7-6, marking a tough night for their pitching staff.

Sonny Gray is projected to take the mound for the Cardinals. With a solid Win/Loss record of 9-3 and a respectable ERA of 3.51 this season, Gray is ranked as the 21st best starting pitcher in MLB, showcasing his ability to perform well under pressure. In his most recent outing on July 8, he pitched 5 innings, allowing just 2 earned runs while striking out 6 batters. This suggests he is capable of bouncing back after the tough loss, and he projects to give up only 2.1 earned runs today.

On the other hand, Davis Daniel is set to start for the Braves, but the stats aren’t in his favor. Although he has an impressive ERA of 0.00, he has only made one appearance this season and projects to struggle against a Cardinals offense ranked 10th in batting average. The projections indicate he might allow as many as 3.0 earned runs today, which could be detrimental given the Braves’ struggles at the plate.

For this game, the Cardinals are favored with a high implied team total of 4.46 runs, compared to the Braves’ lower projection of 3.54 runs. As the Cardinals look to regain momentum, their solid offensive lineup, coupled with Gray’s strong performance, positions them well to secure a much-needed win in front of their home crowd.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Sean Murphy – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+135)
  Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• It may be wise to expect improved performance for the Atlanta Braves offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Sonny Gray – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
  Because flyball hitters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Sonny Gray (43.7% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 3 FB hitters in the opposing team’s projected offense.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Pedro Pages – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+165/-220)
  Placing in the 0th percentile for base-stealing, Pedro Pages has average 0 steals per 600 plate appearances this year.
  Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
• St. Louis Cardinals hitters as a group rank in the cellar of MLB this year ( 10th-worst) as it relates to their 89.2-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• St. Louis Cardinals – Run Line -1.5 (+135)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Run Line in 40 of their last 70 games (+9.70 Units / 11% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 94 games (+9.60 Units / 9% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-135/+105)
  Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.05 Units / 44% ROI)