
New York Yankees
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Chicago White Sox
-145O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)+125
(-110/-110)+125
New York Yankees Insights
- Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-175/+135)Cameron Schlittler has recorded 17.8 outs per start this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- The New York Yankees (26% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-most strikeout-prone batting order of all teams today.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Davis Martin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)Davis Martin has used his curveball 8.9% more often this season (13.7%) than he did last season (4.8%).Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Chase Meidroth – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)Chase Meidroth is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- The 8.8% Barrel% of the Chicago White Sox grades them out as the #7 team in Major League Baseball this year by this metric.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Betting Trends
- Chicago White Sox – Moneyline (+125)The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+4.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- New York Yankees – Moneyline (-145)The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.45 Units / 66% ROI)
- Drew Romo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)Drew Romo has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 47% ROI)
