
Houston Astros
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Los Angeles Angels
-135O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)+115
(-110/-110)+115
Houston Astros Insights
- Houston Astros – Moneyline (-135)The Houston Astros infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Christian Walker – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)Christian Walker has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (92% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Houston Astros – Moneyline (-135)The Houston Astros projected offense ranks as the 3rd-best of the day in terms of overall offensive ability.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Grayson Rodriguez – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+105/-135)Generating 13 outs per start this year on average, Grayson Rodriguez places him the 4th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Jorge Soler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)Jorge Soler has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 98.8-mph in the last 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Los Angeles’s 88.1-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in Major League Baseball: #25 overall.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-130/+100)Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 38% ROI)
