Official Lineup for Cubs vs Cardinals - 7/29/2026

-120O/U: 8
(-110/-110)+100

Matthew Boyd – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
With 7 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Matthew Boyd encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Carson Kelly – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Carson Kelly’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Chicago Cubs – 2H Moneyline
The Chicago Cubs bullpen profiles as the 3rd-worst in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-110)
Dustin May allowed a whopping 6 earned runs in his last game started.
Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
Masyn Winn – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+145)
From last season to this one, Masyn Winn’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 89.6 mph to 87.4 mph.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
Jordan Walker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-145)
Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 38% ROI)
Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-120)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 away games (+10.70 Units / 55% ROI)
Nico Hoerner – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+150/-195)
Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 75% ROI)

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