See the Weather Forecast for Red Sox vs Athletics – Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

Boston Red Sox

@

Athletics

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Patrick Sandoval – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  The Athletics have 6 bats in the projected offense that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Sandoval in today’s game, which is especially problematic given his large platoon split.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Caleb Durbin – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Caleb Durbin’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 83.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 69.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Ranking 3rd-lowest in MLB since the start of last season, Boston Red Sox hitters as a group have notched a 12.3° launch angle on their hardest-hit balls (an advanced standard to assess power ability).
  Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.

Athletics Insights

• Jacob Lopez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Jacob Lopez’s 89.9-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 6th percentile among all SPs.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Athletics – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Athletics’ bullpen projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Athletics – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (-150)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 41% ROI)
• Jacob Wilson – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+850/-2300)
  Jacob Wilson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+21.00 Units / 210% ROI)